to elaborate, even with 49.3% as the mysterious average one would expect luckiest and unluckiest to have the same deviation from the average, but it seems the unluckiest get further away from the average than the luckiest.

cursed accounts.

plus the number of games requirement to be on the unluckiest/luckiest list is unclear. fcuku isn't on the list but his luck is worse than the worst luck there.

what is it with these cursed accounts (question #3...), i thought that was only meant tongue in cheek? is there something to it?

cursed accounts only exist if you believe in "statistics". but you can use statistics to prove anything.

/sarcasm

why you guys keep thinking that average luck should be 50% ???

scaramanga, if you roll a roll that is impossible to lose then neither player registers any luck, that is to say luck has nothing to do with that roll (7v1, 8v1).

As far as your second question is concerned I wondered that myself, but I think it has to do with how players tend to play. If you are unlucky and flag out after losing a lot of key rolls your luck at the end of the game is pretty low. The opposite would entail you flagging out after defending or winning a lot of key rolls, which rarely happens... thus leaving you to balance out your luck with more common place rolls. I would argue player behavior is to blame for the inequality in the deviation of luck.

scara:

luck% only looks at roll win/loss outcome, it doesn't take into account if you win a 5v4 with 20 vs 18 or 30 vs 10

That's why me and other people repeatedly asked for an average dice rolled/dice stat. Kakku was so nice to include it in his script. avg rolled/dice is a vital measure for luck, as is a seperate avg luck% for rounds 1,2,3 combined

bigger outliers on the "unlucky" side of the curve can be explained by "curses" but some will just happen because people might play less if they are unlucky (so it evens out less). Games where you have an unlucky start tend to last shorter so less rolls to average the bad luck out with;

People who get lucky will not only survive longer ingame and thus make more rolls (maybe already averaging out his initial good luck%). But people with good luck have no reason to play less games, even to the contrary. So it's normal that the outliers at the "lucky" side of the curve are less pronounced.

Average luck% below 46,5% over say 50+ games seems hard to explain by a bad luck streak only

50/50/90 thats why

thanks thraxleisgay and jurgen for the info and explanations!