Forum
Advisor Blog
Reviews
Strategies
Ideas
unknown5936481
|
Albert Hendriks wrote
at 9:38 AM, Wednesday December 13, 2006 EST
To get a basic idea about your odds I made a simulation program to find out what your odds are of winning a roll. For example the first square says that if you attack with 2 dice against 1, you have 83% chance of winning. Each square is a result of 1,000,000 rolls, and if I do it again I get the same results (so it's accurate)
<table><th></th><th align=left width=30>1</th><th align=left width=30>2</th><th align=left width=30>3</th><th align=left width=30>4</th><th align=left width=30>5</th><th align=left width=30>6</th><th align=left width=30>7</th><th align=left width=30>8</th><tr><th>2</th><td>83</td><td>44</td><td>15</td><td>3</td><td>0</td><td>0</td><td>0</td><td>0</td></tr><tr><th>3</th><td>97</td><td>77</td><td>45</td><td>19</td><td>6</td><td>1</td><td>0</td><td>0</td></tr><tr><th>4</th><td>99</td><td>93</td><td>74</td><td>46</td><td>22</td><td>8</td><td>2</td><td>0</td></tr><tr><th>5</th><td>99</td><td>98</td><td>90</td><td>71</td><td>46</td><td>24</td><td>10</td><td>3</td></tr><tr><th>6</th><td>99</td><td>99</td><td>97</td><td>88</td><td>69</td><td>46</td><td>25</td><td>12</td></tr><tr><th>7</th><td>100</td><td>99</td><td>99</td><td>96</td><td>86</td><td>68</td><td>46</td><td>27</td></tr><tr><th>8</th><td>100</td><td>99</td><td>99</td><td>98</td><td>94</td><td>84</td><td>67</td><td>47</td></tr></table> |
« First
‹ Previous
Replies 11 - 15 of 15
|
MadWilly wrote
at 4:34 PM, Tuesday December 19, 2006 EST ...
|
|
dzorz wrote
at 6:26 PM, Tuesday December 19, 2006 EST Hi everyone!
I made a program that does *exact* calculations, and here are odds rounded to 3 decimal points. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 1 41.667 9.259 1.157 0.077 0.002 0.000 0.000 0.000 2 83.796 44.367 15.201 3.588 0.610 0.077 0.007 0.000 3 97.299 77.855 45.358 19.170 6.071 1.488 0.289 0.045 4 99.730 93.924 74.283 45.953 22.044 8.342 2.545 0.638 5 99.985 98.794 90.935 71.808 46.365 24.245 10.363 3.674 6 100.000 99.822 97.530 88.395 69.962 46.673 25.998 12.151 7 100.000 99.980 99.466 96.154 86.238 68.516 46.914 27.438 8 100.000 99.998 99.907 98.953 94.773 84.387 67.346 47.109 For example, if 4 dice attacks 2 dice, the odds of winning is 93.924% I hope the formatting won't be screwed. Have fun! |
|
Lindsay wrote
at 8:55 PM, Tuesday December 19, 2006 EST here ya go
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 1 41.667 9.259 1.157 0.077 0.002 0.000 0.000 0.000 2 83.796 44.367 15.201 3.588 0.610 0.077 0.007 0.000 3 97.299 77.855 45.358 19.170 6.071 1.488 0.289 0.045 4 99.730 93.924 74.283 45.953 22.044 8.342 2.545 0.638 5 99.985 98.794 90.935 71.808 46.365 24.245 10.363 3.674 6 100.000 99.822 97.530 88.395 69.962 46.673 25.998 12.151 7 100.000 99.980 99.466 96.154 86.238 68.516 46.914 27.438 8 100.000 99.998 99.907 98.953 94.773 84.387 67.346 47.109 |
|
|
Lindsay wrote
at 8:56 PM, Tuesday December 19, 2006 EST god dammit
|
|
totalsoccer wrote
at 4:47 PM, Wednesday December 20, 2006 EST Good to see that someone can do it exact; I couldn't. Here's a nice layout (I hope) :
<table><tr><th align=left width=30></th><th align=left width=60>1</th><th align=left width=60>2</th><th align=left width=60>3</th><th align=left width=60>4</th><th align=left width=60>5</th><th align=left width=60>6</th><th align=left width=60>7</th><th align=left width=60>8</th> <tr><th>2</th><td>83.796</td><td>44.367</td><td>15.201</td><td>3.588</td><td>0.610</td><td>0 .077</td><td>0.007</td><td>0.000</td></tr><tr><th>3</th><td>97.299</td><td>77.855</td><td>45 .358</td><td>19.170</td><td>6.071</td><td>1.488</td><td>0.289</td><td>0.045</td></tr><tr><th >4</th><td>99.730</td><td>93.924</td><td>74.283</td><td>45.953</td><td>22.044</td><td>8.342< /td><td>2.545</td><td>0.638</td></tr><tr><th>5</th><td>99.985</td><td>98.794</td><td>90.935< /td><td>71.808</td><td>46.365</td><td>24.245</td><td>10.363</td><td>3.674</td></tr> <tr><th>6</th><td>100.000</td><td>99.822</td><td>97.530</td><td>88.395</td><td>69.962</td><t d>46.673</td><td>25.998</td><td>12.151</td></tr><tr><th>7</th><td>100.000</td><td>99.980</td ><td>99.466</td><td>96.154</td><td>86.238</td><td>68.516</td><td>46.914</td><td>27.438</td>< /tr><tr><th>8</th><td>100.000</td><td>99.998</td><td>99.907</td><td>98.953</td><td>94.773</t d><td>84.387</td><td>67.346</td><td>47.109</td></tr></table> |
