Forum
Continuous bad luck... Coincidence???
|
Zard0z wrote
at 11:01 AM, Tuesday December 6, 2011 EST
I don't get this...Don't wont to sound paranoid but I have noticed that some days bad luck seems to continue almost every game..
Here is My December 6 luck stats: 0.6 % (lost 5 vs 2) 40.5% 44.5% 38.2% 45.2% I did have one over 50% but after loosing 5v2 it got too much. Seems like if your day starts bad it continues that way. Maybe I'm just frustrated but I don't think such luck (not the first time) matches any kind of normal probability. |
|
montecarlo wrote
at 8:29 AM, Friday December 9, 2011 EST pretty sure BJ is a girl. at least thats the gossip bomb that mikey dropped after BJ finally got her gold. apparently mikey let it slip midway through the month because he said her instead of him once, but no one noticed.
|
|
Louis Cypher wrote
at 8:53 AM, Friday December 9, 2011 EST As far as I recall BJ was what you did not expect and it was reveiled after the 1st. So the name and avatar are typical male (hormon insaned...). Thus I'd go for the girl.
As for the stats, 12 games a month don't proof anything. There are months with a significant number of games and I agree that the luck is total shit. But then, only average points per dice would really provide some hint on a curse (God, is it me saying this? I've been whining about my IP-curse for ages and now this? Get me a doctor!). And with the number of games and rolls most of us play, that should be 3.5 for everyone. |
|
montecarlo wrote
at 9:09 AM, Friday December 9, 2011 EST she was averaging less than 3. it was obscene. and im talking several hundred rolls.
|
|
montecarlo wrote
at 9:15 AM, Friday December 9, 2011 EST and lol @ everyone in the past who has argued against the curse by saying "oh bj only has 12 games per month, thats not statistically significant."
are you trying to be blind to the truth that she has played 700+ games since the 'curse' started, and her luck over that span is <46%??? 700 is NOT insignificant. the burden of proof is no longer on the 'paranoid' people. we already ran the stats, and found significant deviation from the norm. the burden of proof is now on the ppl who dont believe in bj's rolls being rigged. if you want to disprove it, go watch dozens of her games, and record every roll, and find the averages. they will be less than 3. if you dont want to go through with the scientific rigor, then please dont come in these threads and try to make the 'paranoid' people out as loony unscientific idiots. we arent. we did the math. you didnt, you loony. |
|
fcuku_ wrote
at 10:20 AM, Friday December 9, 2011 EST (yes)
|
|
Zard0z wrote
at 12:29 AM, Monday August 17, 2015 EDT So bad luck continues, and gotten worst since i complained. It is impossible to play a normal game. After all this years of playing this game for fun (no pga, no proxy, just fair game) so long k-dice.
August 17 291st 3,055â?? 2 -50 0 10 % 42 : 58 44.3 % 0% 0% 0% 0% 50% 50% 0% August 16 283rd 3,155â?? 10 -5 0 31 % 54 : 46 49.6 % 20% 10% 10% 0% 10% 30% 20% August 15 301st 2,880â?? 20 23 9 28 % 54 : 46 43.3 % 20% 10% 20% 30% 5% 10% 5% August 14 384th 1,980â?? 11 -14 3 28 % 54 : 46 48.6 % 18% 18% 9% 9% 18% 18% 9% August 13 367th 1,980â?? 6 -17 0 32 % 48 : 52 47.8 % 16% 0% 16% 33% 16% 16% 0% August 12 357th 1,905â?? 23 5 14 30 % 52 : 48 47.4 % 21% 8% 21% 30% 4% 8% 4% August 11 460th 1,080â?? 2 13 2 60 % 52 : 48 51.1 % 50% 0% 0% 0% 0% 50% 0% August 9 433rd 855â?? 11 -27 4 30 % 48 : 52 46.4 % 9% 9% 0% 18% 36% 18% 9% August 8 375th 955â?? 5 -30 0 13 % 49 : 51 41.0 % 0% 0% 0% 40% 0% 40% 20% August 7 307th 1,155â?? 21 2 13 31 % 50 : 50 48.7 % 19% 4% 19% 23% 14% 4% 14% August 6 422nd 555â?? 5 -89 0 21 % 43 : 57 49.8 % 0% 20% 20% 0% 40% 0% 20% August 5 248th 1,000â?? 3 25 1 44 % 46 : 54 47.5 % 33% 0% 33% 33% 0% 0% 0% August 4 214th 875â?? 6 -17 5 22 % 46 : 54 51.8 % 0% 16% 50% 16% 16% 0% 0% August 3 192nd 725â?? 3 25 3 46 % 58 : 42 47.1 % 33% 0% 33% 0% 33% 0% 0% |
|
apignarb wrote
at 9:20 AM, Monday August 17, 2015 EDT Don't you just love it when people tell you "it's been proven", "that's common knowledge" and "someone did a study..".
But somehow they never show you the proof of said study. And if it is an actual study, it reads like the notes they find at the serial killers' home after he gets busted in hollywood movies. |
|
deadcode wrote
at 11:35 AM, Monday August 17, 2015 EDT Doing a study and recording the results would be so easy to do. The fact that no one has done an actual study seems to suggest that no one is actually interested in finding out the answer to this question. Oh well. I sure as hell don't give a crap; carry on :)
|
|
montecarlo wrote
at 1:17 PM, Monday August 17, 2015 EDT jesus fuck. thrax recorded all the rolls for at least a week. several people saw it through. i have a fucking phd in medical physics, i know how stats work.
if you choose to simply state, 'oh i dont see the numbers right now', then youre a prick. several people put lots of good time into this, it was legit. for you to dismiss it out-of-hand reflects very poorly on you apig. i mean that in a respectful way. why would you have reason to doubt our integrity in this matter? what the hell do we have to gain by making all this shit up? |
|
deadcode wrote
at 5:31 PM, Monday August 17, 2015 EDT Guess someone gives a crap :)
Monte; did you guys write down the number of rolls and the results? It would be interesting to understand the % of confidence the sample size produced. |