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Probability: +8 or >45
Yetihenry wrote
at 2:53 PM, Tuesday June 22, 2010 EDT
Which is more likely? Winning a +8 or rolling >45?

All the free software I can find isn't giving me more than 2 decimal places, and I cannot be bothered to do it by hand.

PS it is definitely not 1/12

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MadHat_Sam wrote
at 9:35 PM, Wednesday June 23, 2010 EDT
Heh, I was thinking the +8 would have come in around 6-7%, 10% is an interesting result. As for this case Yeti didn't deserve a 10% shot at survival. Maybe 44 or better I guess a 5/48 chance would be fair.
Yetihenry wrote
at 4:23 PM, Thursday June 24, 2010 EDT
I would contest not deserving it, the player in first was flagged to me! But another player suicided into me and as such he tried to get others to kill me so the flag dissapeared.

Ah well, I have my figures now, and I think I deserved more than a 0.01% chance of survival.
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