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Collected data of a cursed account
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fiero600 wrote
at 4:04 AM, Saturday December 20, 2008 EST
In the last 2 months, I noticed extremely bad luck while playing kdice. In november I shrugged it off, but as it got worse in December i started to alter my play style to win points. I started relying more and more heavily on early flags, early truces, and board manipulation to get what i could.
The better i got at this method, the more my points started to stabalize, and my statistics, (while not what they have been in the past) were decent. It was at this point that i noticed an even worse decline in my rolls, and began to track my rolls. Whereas i found it very tedious to track every roll, It was much easier to track the 8 stacks as they were clustered more and contained more data....So anyways, the longer i "cntrl c/v"'d my 8 stack rolls...the more intrigued i was. After tracking game after game, i ended up with data containing 100 dice rolls (800 dice!) Anyways...here's the summary of my dice [skrum if you want to review this, i have the data recorded (and some of it screen shotted when i got too lazy to cntl c)] 8v8's 58 rolls - 7 wins 51 losses 8v7's 9 rolls - 2 wins 7 losses 8v6's 15 rolls - 7 wins 8 losses (almost 50%) 8v5's 6 rolls- 1 win 5 losses (sigh) 8v4 3 rolls- 2 wins 1 loss 8v3 1 roll - 1 win 8v2 3 rolls- 3 wins 0 losses 8v1 5 rolls -5 wins 0 losses Worst 8v8 streak - 32 losses in a row (with Ghostface/ Kdicer X/wozoro watching) Shortest distance between 2 8v8 wins - 7 rolls Best suicide on me - Kdicer X (KDicer X's turn fiero600 defeated 8v8, 25 to 20, (2,4,6,5,2,2,2,2 to 1,6,2,1,2,4,1,3) fiero600 defeated 7v8, 27 to 22, (4,6,4,4,1,6,2 to 1,1,5,2,2,4,1,6) fiero600 defeated 6v8, 23 to 19, (2,6,5,3,4,3 to 6,2,1,1,2,1,4,2) fiero600 defeated 5v8, 23 to 20, (4,4,5,6,4 to 6,4,2,1,2,2,2,1) fiero600 defeated 4v8, 16 to 15, (6,6,3,1 to 1,1,1,2,6,1,1,2) +11 dice) BestT 8 stack roll = 35 Worst 8 stack roll= 11 (ive rolled an 8 though..just not in this set of 100) Overall Total of 800 dice = 1438 Overall Dice average of 800 dice = 1.8 (1.7975) [note : unless im wrong, average dice roll should be 3.5] Im not sure what this data means.... Is it possible for the average of 800 dice to be 1.8 when everyone is on an even scale with the "random luck generator" ? maybe? maybe not? I never used to believe that Ryan could/would "curse" an account... I remember at a time last month several people were complaining about "cursed accounts"... and i shrugged it off. I dont know what exactly Ryan (or who knows maybe a hacker ) did to my account... but i know 1 thing... my account is cursed. For anyone who doesn't believe this.. come watch me play a couple games... ill gladly build up (8 stacks) for you and let you watch as around 90% of them fail 8v8.. consistently. I know there's gonna be a lot of people who simply think this is funny... as many people obsessively hate me (kehoe, vermont, monte).. but i dont believe im the only account that's been cursed... and if Ryan/whoever can curse an account like this... i bet damn well they can make the average roll be 4.5 instead of 3.5... imagine how much that would affect an account. P.S. - Ryan, i dont expect an explanation or even a response because it's not your style to take credit for anything or ever admit to anything.. this was simply for community review and for those others who believe they have been cursed. If anyone wants screen shots / evidence of this data... feel free to message me and ill send it to you. Signed - Fiero600 |
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snmlmz wrote
at 1:14 PM, Thursday December 16, 2010 EST If this is the first month in a while that you haven't had the membership, and your luck is cursed again, does that mean members have different luck than non-members? Maybe even a luck boost for members so they are more likely to win more, play more, and pay more?
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superxchloe wrote
at 2:10 PM, Thursday December 16, 2010 EST I've heard at least one other person say their luck got worse after ending their membership. That person's stats don't look cursed to be, but they're not quite average either.
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TheBetterYodel wrote
at 4:27 PM, Thursday December 16, 2010 EST My luck eats poo every time I don't have the membership. I'm not giving Ryan a cent more of my cash though so I'll just suffer through it.
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fiero600 wrote
at 6:29 PM, Thursday December 16, 2010 EST Monte, my average wasn't 1.8 it came out to 2.4 ish. That was after i sent the whole data set screen shotted to skrum and he looked through all my data. I put that in one of the 1st followup posts. But skrum did say that a Dice roll of 2.4 instead of 3.5 with a data set that large, there was a 0% chance that it happened solely on the basis of chance.
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fiero600 wrote
at 6:40 PM, Thursday December 16, 2010 EST snmlz - i dont think it works like that
obviously all members are not cursed. But I think that when you pay for the kdice services, you're entitled to 'fair play' . Ryan no less wouldn't rig a game against people who pay him money. But Ryan can find people he doesn't like as much as basically say, "you can still play here and have a fair chance, but only if you pay me money" It's the reason that Monte switched accounts. For almost 6 months in a row AFTER bomb got 2nd place overall, he played 100's of games and was consistently on the scoreboard for "top 5 unluckiest". I don't think it's a coincidence. If someone could find it, there's a post a month or so later where I buy a membership, and track my luck as it slowly pulls from 45% back to 49% at the same time. I cant find it :( |
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xmisty wrote
at 10:23 AM, Monday February 28, 2011 EST bump
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Prince Of Persia wrote
at 10:28 AM, Monday February 28, 2011 EST lol. The original 2008 curse had me at 2.4 average dice roll. Those were some depressing days :(
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dasfury wrote
at 1:25 PM, Monday February 28, 2011 EST curses are bullshit
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Prince Of Persia wrote
at 4:11 PM, Monday February 28, 2011 EST are not
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Karsten4130 wrote
at 2:50 AM, Tuesday March 1, 2011 EST How did you record the data?
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