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Fatman_x takes the 2010 TAZD; computation of complete standings in progress.
Posted By: skrumgaer at 6:51 PM, Saturday January 1, 2011 EST
Here are Fatman_x's final stats:
1631 22% 16% 13% 12% 10% 11% 11% 22535 Fatman_x
Olkainry38 did not play any additional games after Dec 21.
Here were the two leaders on Dec 21:
1591 22% 16% 13% 13% 10% 11% 11% 21975 Fatman_x
0894 22% 20% 16% 13% 11% 08% 07% 21798 olkainry38
The November scores are below. They were recomputed when I found I had been using the 2009 datum instead of the 2010 datum.
The Test Against Zero Datum (TAZD) is a weighted sum of the squares of the differences between a player's percentage profile and the profile of a typical player with a zero score, adjusted according to the square root of the number of games played. If you would like to enter the cumulative TAZD competition for 2010, reply to this thread in the account that you want to enter.
In 2010, the cumulative TAZD began in April, because some January, February, and March profiles had corrupted percentages.
A minimum of sixty regular games per month was required.
Entries show number of games, percentages, and player name.
A minimum of 540 regular games played was required to remain in the standings as of December 31.
Here are the end of November standings with the new datum.
0815 22% 20% 16% 13% 11% 09% 07% 20192 olkainry38
1324 22% 16% 13% 13% 10% 13% 11% 19645 Fatman_x
0886 21% 18% 18% 13% 11% 08% 07% 19382 the full monte
1612 15% 19% 16% 14% 14% 11% 07% 17412 Xar
2297 18% 15% 14% 15% 13% 13% 10% 17190 Fonias
1282 19% 15% 14% 14% 13% 13% 09% 14698 ProxyCheater
1089 19% 16% 12% 15% 13% 12% 09% 14359 ZIGIBOOM
1817 16% 18% 12% 10% 11% 13% 16% 14038 cool g
0731 18% 22% 12% 10% 08% 11% 16% 14010 leeroy jenkins
1810 19% 14% 12% 12% 13% 15% 12% 13270 caesar-blue
2990 13% 11% 11% 08% 09% 10% 34% 12928 noamlang1
0519 21% 15% 18% 11% 12% 08% 12% 12080 chaiNblade
1597 19% 14% 09% 09% 10% 13% 24% 11916 greekboi
0769 22% 14% 09% 13% 13% 13% 14% 11355 dasfury
1054 18% 14% 13% 13% 12% 11% 15% 09627 yellowfin
0698 17% 15% 10% 13% 14% 14% 13% 06707 speciale528
0662 17% 14% 12% 12% 13% 13% 15% 06340 AlexBallDrop
1122 11% 15% 15% 14% 11% 12% 18% 05785 pooch723
1625 16% 12% 11% 10% 12% 15% 22% 06512 kendawg
0613 14% 11% 17% 11% 11% 15% 16% 04945 vIRGI
1631 22% 16% 13% 12% 10% 11% 11% 22535 Fatman_x
Olkainry38 did not play any additional games after Dec 21.
Here were the two leaders on Dec 21:
1591 22% 16% 13% 13% 10% 11% 11% 21975 Fatman_x
0894 22% 20% 16% 13% 11% 08% 07% 21798 olkainry38
The November scores are below. They were recomputed when I found I had been using the 2009 datum instead of the 2010 datum.
The Test Against Zero Datum (TAZD) is a weighted sum of the squares of the differences between a player's percentage profile and the profile of a typical player with a zero score, adjusted according to the square root of the number of games played. If you would like to enter the cumulative TAZD competition for 2010, reply to this thread in the account that you want to enter.
In 2010, the cumulative TAZD began in April, because some January, February, and March profiles had corrupted percentages.
A minimum of sixty regular games per month was required.
Entries show number of games, percentages, and player name.
A minimum of 540 regular games played was required to remain in the standings as of December 31.
Here are the end of November standings with the new datum.
0815 22% 20% 16% 13% 11% 09% 07% 20192 olkainry38
1324 22% 16% 13% 13% 10% 13% 11% 19645 Fatman_x
0886 21% 18% 18% 13% 11% 08% 07% 19382 the full monte
1612 15% 19% 16% 14% 14% 11% 07% 17412 Xar
2297 18% 15% 14% 15% 13% 13% 10% 17190 Fonias
1282 19% 15% 14% 14% 13% 13% 09% 14698 ProxyCheater
1089 19% 16% 12% 15% 13% 12% 09% 14359 ZIGIBOOM
1817 16% 18% 12% 10% 11% 13% 16% 14038 cool g
0731 18% 22% 12% 10% 08% 11% 16% 14010 leeroy jenkins
1810 19% 14% 12% 12% 13% 15% 12% 13270 caesar-blue
2990 13% 11% 11% 08% 09% 10% 34% 12928 noamlang1
0519 21% 15% 18% 11% 12% 08% 12% 12080 chaiNblade
1597 19% 14% 09% 09% 10% 13% 24% 11916 greekboi
0769 22% 14% 09% 13% 13% 13% 14% 11355 dasfury
1054 18% 14% 13% 13% 12% 11% 15% 09627 yellowfin
0698 17% 15% 10% 13% 14% 14% 13% 06707 speciale528
0662 17% 14% 12% 12% 13% 13% 15% 06340 AlexBallDrop
1122 11% 15% 15% 14% 11% 12% 18% 05785 pooch723
1625 16% 12% 11% 10% 12% 15% 22% 06512 kendawg
0613 14% 11% 17% 11% 11% 15% 16% 04945 vIRGI
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Fatman_x wrote
at 5:45 PM, Sunday January 2, 2011 EST Yes, I took it, thx scrum for adding me, there, I took one big trophy just before saying oodbye for good, nice, bye all, GL in real life.
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Fatman_x wrote
at 5:45 PM, Sunday January 2, 2011 EST Yes, I took it, thx scrum for adding me, there, I took one big trophy just before saying goodbye for good, nice, bye all, GL in real life.
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superxchloe wrote
at 10:53 PM, Tuesday January 4, 2011 EST Okay, I've been running numbers trying to do the calculation so that I duplicate your results, and I finally figured out why I can't. The percentage profiles don't match. Why don't you weight the annual percentage profiles by the number of games played each month? It's fairly simple with a little clicking and dragging in excel and provides (I think) a far more accurate percentage profile than a straight average. A straight average favours someone who plays very few games one month (for example, kendawg) whereas a weighted average takes that factor into account.
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skrumgaer wrote
at 11:29 PM, Tuesday January 4, 2011 EST They are weighted by games per month. I take each month's number of games, multiply that number of games by the player's profile and have the number of firsts, seconds, thirds, etc. for the month. Take the sum over the twelve months (though in 2010, it was nine) and get a grand annual total of firsts, seconds, etc. Then do the TAZD on the annual totals.
You probably noticed that the annual TAZD is not a mere sum of monthly TAZD's. A monthly winning TAZD might be 12,000, the yearly 21,000. Also, if a player is changing his style of play from month to month, his TAZD might actually decrease. This has been the case for noamlang1, who not only was losing ground to the leaders but occasionally had an actual decrease in his TAZD from month to month. |
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superxchloe wrote
at 11:33 PM, Tuesday January 4, 2011 EST Actually- I found an error in my calcs so my stats for fatman match yours now. apologies.
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superxchloe wrote
at 12:12 AM, Wednesday January 5, 2011 EST noam's tazd decreased because his skill increased- doesn't that say something towards the tazd to you?
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skrumgaer wrote
at 8:10 AM, Wednesday January 5, 2011 EST That there are different kinds of skill, not all of which are picked up equally by the TAZD. Noam's original style of play was good enough to win trophies, but he changed to another.
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Vermont wrote
at 1:52 PM, Wednesday January 5, 2011 EST It shouldn't matter what "style" of skill gets a player more wins, or average higher places. What matters is that they got them, period.
Getting lots of 7ths (and therefore a high tazd) does not represent skill. We've said this many times before, but evidently it needs repeating: tazd does not measure skill in any way whatsoever. It measures deviation from a norm. Negative deviation (playing worse than the norm) affects your score in exactly the same way as positive deviation, so, again, it in no way measures skill. I'm not sure why this needs to be continually said. Maybe we should just keep copy/pasting the same text over and over again. |
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skrumgaer wrote
at 7:33 PM, Wednesday January 5, 2011 EST If it matters that the higher players got more points, better percentages, etc., then it matters that not-so-good players got less points, worse percentages, etc. A TAZD close to zero has a real meaning: it means that you are not a good player.
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montecarlo wrote
at 11:06 AM, Thursday January 6, 2011 EST and if you play worse than a "not good" player, then you have a better tazd.
this is the point that verm/chloe/etc agree upon, and it seems to be valid. |
