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Can anyone help me calculate the probability?
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ryonckc wrote
at 12:58 PM, Thursday April 26, 2007 EDT
I lose
7 vs 2 5 vs 2 4 vs 2 2 vs 2 in a single round. What is the probability of that? |
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montecarlo wrote
at 1:12 PM, Thursday April 26, 2007 EDT approximately 1 in 12 million
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integral wrote
at 1:30 PM, Thursday April 26, 2007 EDT well if it's grun's 2 stack, then the probability is like 90% that you will lose them.
everybody knows that. |
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Sea Captain wrote
at 3:33 PM, Thursday April 26, 2007 EDT Are you asking for the probability of it happening to you, or the probability of it happening at all?
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Tanktunker wrote
at 4:04 PM, Thursday April 26, 2007 EDT Although I refuse to believe you lost a 7v2, unless you were the 2.
7 vs 2 (~0.28%) 5 vs 2 (~0.4%) 4 vs 2 (~5%) 2 vs 2 (50%) |
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_rnd wrote
at 7:43 PM, Thursday April 26, 2007 EDT deceptive..
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Cleopatra wrote
at 5:07 AM, Friday April 27, 2007 EDT If there are about 30 tables with the game going on, if one game lasts for an about 10 minutes (?)then there are 30*6*24 hours - 4320 games each day.
Lets assume an average game lasts for 15 rounds - and assume that in each round there are 5 players (7 in the beginnig, but fewer at the end)Lets assume in each turn each player makes 2 attacks (once more - an average amount). 4320*15*5*2 = 648000 attacks each day. So events with probability 1/12.000.000 are bound to happen from time to time..... |
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sarahxxx wrote
at 6:20 AM, Friday April 27, 2007 EDT tanktunker is wrong with his odds...
7v2 = 0.009% 5v2 = 0.587% 4v2 = 3.558% 2v2 = 44.521% therefore the chances of it happening in one round is... 0.8368567% unlucky hehe |
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Cleopatra wrote
at 6:23 AM, Friday April 27, 2007 EDT How did you achieve this final number, Sarah?
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sarahxxx wrote
at 7:01 AM, Friday April 27, 2007 EDT used me abacus
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sarahxxx wrote
at 7:05 AM, Friday April 27, 2007 EDT simple probability equations cleo
http://www.mathgoodies.com/lessons/vol6/independent_events.html p.s i used the probability sheet grunvagr gave me http://img245.imageshack.us/img245/9562/statsbk5.png |