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Can anyone help me calculate the probability?
ryonckc wrote
at 12:58 PM, Thursday April 26, 2007 EDT
I lose

7 vs 2
5 vs 2
4 vs 2
2 vs 2

in a single round. What is the probability of that?

Replies 1 - 10 of 44 Next › Last »
montecarlo wrote
at 1:12 PM, Thursday April 26, 2007 EDT
approximately 1 in 12 million
integral wrote
at 1:30 PM, Thursday April 26, 2007 EDT
well if it's grun's 2 stack, then the probability is like 90% that you will lose them.

everybody knows that.
Sea Captain wrote
at 3:33 PM, Thursday April 26, 2007 EDT
Are you asking for the probability of it happening to you, or the probability of it happening at all?
Tanktunker wrote
at 4:04 PM, Thursday April 26, 2007 EDT
Although I refuse to believe you lost a 7v2, unless you were the 2.
7 vs 2 (~0.28%)
5 vs 2 (~0.4%)
4 vs 2 (~5%)
2 vs 2 (50%)
_rnd wrote
at 7:43 PM, Thursday April 26, 2007 EDT
deceptive..
Cleopatra wrote
at 5:07 AM, Friday April 27, 2007 EDT
If there are about 30 tables with the game going on, if one game lasts for an about 10 minutes (?)then there are 30*6*24 hours - 4320 games each day.

Lets assume an average game lasts for 15 rounds - and assume that in each round there are 5 players (7 in the beginnig, but fewer at the end)Lets assume in each turn each player makes 2 attacks (once more - an average amount).
4320*15*5*2 = 648000 attacks each day.

So events with probability 1/12.000.000 are bound to happen from time to time.....
sarahxxx wrote
at 6:20 AM, Friday April 27, 2007 EDT
tanktunker is wrong with his odds...

7v2 = 0.009%
5v2 = 0.587%
4v2 = 3.558%
2v2 = 44.521%

therefore the chances of it happening in one round is...

0.8368567%

unlucky

hehe

Cleopatra wrote
at 6:23 AM, Friday April 27, 2007 EDT
How did you achieve this final number, Sarah?
sarahxxx wrote
at 7:01 AM, Friday April 27, 2007 EDT
used me abacus
sarahxxx wrote
at 7:05 AM, Friday April 27, 2007 EDT
simple probability equations cleo

http://www.mathgoodies.com/lessons/vol6/independent_events.html

p.s
i used the probability sheet grunvagr gave me

http://img245.imageshack.us/img245/9562/statsbk5.png
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