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Lucky Dice Streak
JKD wrote
at 8:33 PM, Wednesday March 7, 2007 EST
From I game I watched, it actually went longer than this but I missed the early ones and stopped paying attention at the end.

smaks defends 13 8v8s (all of them), wins 4 8v8 attacks plus a 8v4 and 8v3. Only loses once (the 6th roll, 8v8 attack).

Xparse's turn
smaks defended 8v8: 31 to 31 (5,6,1,2,3,5,3,6 to 4,3,3,2,5,5,3,6)

smaks's turn
Xparse defeated 8v8: 31 to 22 (4,1,5,6,2,3,6,4 to 3,3,2,2,3,3,4,2)

BrutalBob's turn

Ham Cube's turn
smaks defended 8v8: 29 to 32 (5,3,3,2,6,3,3,4 to 4,3,4,6,1,5,3,6)
smaks defended 8v8: 23 to 33 (4,3,3,1,2,3,4,3 to 5,6,3,3,5,6,1,4)

Xparse's turn
smaks defended 8v8: 23 to 31 (1,3,4,2,5,1,4,3 to 5,1,4,6,3,2,6,4)

smaks's turn
**** Ham Cube defended 8v8: 19 to 26 (4,4,3,1,1,1,3,2 to 2,6,4,1,1,4,2,6)
Xparse defeated 8v8: 31 to 26 (6,3,5,2,5,3,5,2 to 3,5,6,2,2,5,2,1)

BrutalBob's turn

Ham Cube's turn
smaks defended 8v8: 20 to 30 (2,2,5,1,3,2,1,4 to 6,1,6,4,5,1,4,3)
smaks defended 8v8: 28 to 33 (6,1,4,6,1,5,4,1 to 3,5,5,4,3,1,6,6)

Xparse's turn
smaks defended 8v8: 21 to 21 (1,4,1,5,1,2,4,3 to 3,1,1,3,3,5,4,1)
smaks defended 8v8: 22 to 30 (3,3,5,3,1,1,1,5 to 3,5,4,2,3,3,4,6)

smaks's turn
Xparse defeated 8v4: 16 to 15 (3,2,1,1,2,3,2,2 to 5,5,3,2)
Xparse defeated 8v3: 33 to 10 (4,6,6,2,6,1,4,4 to 3,4,3)

BrutalBob's turn

Ham Cube's turn
smaks defended 8v8: 28 to 34 (3,6,2,6,4,1,1,5 to 6,6,3,4,2,6,2,5)
smaks defended 8v8: 28 to 39 (6,1,3,2,4,1,6,5 to 6,5,6,2,6,4,4,6)
smaks defended 8v8: 23 to 29 (6,2,4,3,3,3,1,1 to 5,4,2,5,4,2,3,4)

Xparse's turn

smaks's turn
Ham Cube defeated 8v8: 31 to 24 (2,4,2,5,1,6,5,6 to 1,3,2,5,2,2,5,4)

BrutalBob's turn

Ham Cube's turn
smaks defended 8v8: 28 to 30 (1,2,1,3,6,5,4,6 to 6,6,1,6,1,5,1,4)
smaks defended 8v8: 22 to 31 (1,2,3,1,5,5,3,2 to 6,2,3,6,3,3,5,3)

Xparse's turn

smaks's turn
Ham Cube defeated 8v8: 29 to 27 (3,3,5,1,5,4,3,5 to 2,4,3,4,5,5,2,2)

Replies 1 - 3 of 3
sten wrote
at 8:49 PM, Wednesday March 7, 2007 EST
If you didn't know, 8v8 is less than 50% chance so chances are you can attack 8v8 10 million times and lose every single attack
fuzzycat wrote
at 2:59 AM, Thursday March 8, 2007 EST
Please take a look at:
http://kdice.wikispaces.com/Random+in+Kdice

In your post your longest defended streak is just 4. Nothing extra ordinary.

Other than that, the long run chances will be 47.1%. But in small samples this can easily go for up or down. I'm just now too lazy to calculate standard variances..
JKD wrote
at 6:48 AM, Thursday March 8, 2007 EST
There's 12 8vs8's favouring smaks in a row, plus the 8v4 and 8v3, and 19 out of 20 battles favoured him. The streak was much longer than this and he used it to comeback and beat a top 2 alliance by himself.
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